News & Opinion

2021 Palmetto Championship: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Congaree Golf Club

At 40-1, Alex Noren has a game that should translate well at Congaree Golf Club.

Look past Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka to find value in Branden Grace (28-1), Alex Noren (40-1) and Doc Redman (60-1)

If last week wasn’t a sign of the times as we leave the pandemic, then we are not sure what it is.

Collin Morikawa, Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm certainly enjoy playing Muirfield Village, huh? The past three champions on the host course dueled as the main contenders at the Memorial Tournament until Saturday afternoon, when Rahm was informed that he had tested positive for COVID-19, forcing him to withdraw. Rahm held a six-shot lead, but the PGA Tour’s pandemic protocols ultimately helped force a playoff between Morikawa and Cantlay on Sunday. Cantlay won on the first extra hole for his second title at Jack’s Place in three years.

As for the picks, we were a playoff away from another winner on the year with our favorite Collin Morikawa. As excruciating as it was, we won’t have to wonder about any sort of asterisk. Rickie Fowler also continued his rebound with a T-11, but Matthew Fitzpatrick missed the cut by a stroke.

The Tour will now return to the Lowcountry for the inaugural Palmetto Championship at Congaree Golf Club. The new one-off tournament replaces the RBC Canadian Open because of ongoing COVID-19 protocols north of the border and will feature only six of the top 30-ranked golfers in the world. Debuting as Golf Digest’s “Best New Private Course” in 2018, the club was founded with only two members: Dan Friedkin and the late Bob McNair. Their mission is to positively impact local and national youth with educational and vocational opportunities through golf and via the Congaree Foundation.

According to William Hill, world No. 1 Dustin Johnson, a South Carolina native, comes in as the co-favorite with Phoenix Open champion Brooks Koepka at 8-1. Englishmen Tyrrell Hatton (14-1) and Matthew Fitzpatrick (18-1) and South Korea's Sungjae Im (20-1) complete the notables.

For our favorite, we’re going with South African Branden Grace at 28-1. With the diluted field this week, there is plenty of value on guys outside of the favorites to win outright, and Grace fits that mold. Grace, who won the Puerto Rico Open in February, finished fourth at the Memorial last week. He ranked first in strokes gained short game and second in total. The Palmetto Championship represents a solid opportunity to add another win to his resume.

For a midrange pick, we’ll take Sweden's Alex Noren at 40-1. Noren is another player who has been very consistent lately, with four top-25s in his past five starts, including a T-13 at Memorial. Noren has been impressive across his bag, and Congaree should suit his strengths off the tee and around the green. Look for Noren to contend again.

For a sleeper, we’re going with Doc Redman at 60-1. Redman has made the cut in four of his past five appearances, including a T-9 at the AT&T Byron Nelson. Redman has had a few close calls with winning via four top-5s, notably a runner-up at the 2019 Rocket Mortgage Classic. The North Carolina native who played college golf at Clemson should be comfortable at Congaree and continue his good play.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Winners: 3
Top 10s: 10
Top 20s: 11
Misses: 38

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Dustin Johnson 8-1
Brooks Koepka 8-1
Tyrrell Hatton 14-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 18-1
Sungjae Im 20-1
Tommy Fleetwood 25-1
Branden Grace 28-1
Harris English 28-1
Keith Mitchell 35-1
Garrick Higgo 40-1
Brandt Snedeker 40-1
Patton Kizzire 40-1
Alex Noren 40-1
Ian Poulter 40-1
Lucas Glover 40-1
Kevin Kisner 50-1
Harold Varner III 50-1
Danny Willett 60-1
Jhonattan Vegas 60-1
Doc Redman 60-1
Russell Knox 60-1
Ben Martin 66-1
C.T. Pan 66-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 66-1
Martin Laird 66-1
Scott Stallings 70-1
Luke List 80-1
Matthew NeSmith 80-1
Pat Perez 80-1
Vincent Whaley 80-1
Erik Van Rooyen 90-1
Bo Hoag 90-1
Richy Werenski 100-1
David Lipsky 100-1
Scott Piercy 100-1
Camilo Villegas 100-1
Patrick Rodgers 100-1
J.T. Poston 100-1
Rory Sabbatini 100-1
Peter Uihlein 100-1
Seamus Power 100-1
Nate Lashley 100-1
Sepp Straka 100-1
Vaughn Taylor 125-1
Wilco Nienaber 125-1
Bronson Burgoon 125-1
Sung-Hoon Kang 125-1
Nick Taylor 125-1
Jason Dufner 125-1
Henrik Norlander 125-1
Hank Lebioda 125-1
Tom Lewis 125-1
Byeong Hun An 125-1
Satoshi Kodaira 125-1
Padraig Harrington 125-1
Brian Stuard 150-1
Kevin Chappell 150-1
Andrew Putnam 150-1
J.J. Spaun 150-1
Adam Schenk 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Tyler Duncan 150-1
James Hahn 150-1
Roger Sloan 150-1
Mark Hubbard 150-1
John Huh 150-1
Will Gordon 150-1
John Pak 150-1
Robby Shelton 150-1
Brice Garnett 150-1
Kramer Hickok 150-1
Davis Thompson 150-1
Danny Lee 150-1
Xinjun Zhang 175-1
Tyler McCumber 175-1
Chez Reavie 175-1
Luke Donald 200-1
Chesson Hadley 200-1
Chase Seiffert 200-1
Scott Brown 200-1
Beau Hossler 200-1
Cole Hammer 200-1
Josh Teater 200-1
Cameron Percy 200-1
Rob Oppenheim 200-1
Sam Ryder 200-1
Sean O'Hair 200-1
Wes Roach 200-1

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