News & Opinion

2021 Charles Schwab Challenge: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Colonial Country Club

At 100-1 odds, Harry 'Big Rig' Higgs offers plenty of value this week for the Charles Schwab Challenge.

Abraham Ancer, coming off a strong finish at PGA, looks good at 20-1, and Joaquin Niemann (30-1), Harry Higgs (100-1) stand out

You miss one week of recapping the picks and the PGA Tour becomes as intoxicated as many of the cooped-up golf fans who finally were able to attend a major championship at Kiawah Island.

It was a historic week at the Ocean Course as we not only saw 50-year-old Phil Mickelson turn back the clock for his sixth major title, but how a windswept seaside layout can belittle many of the best players in the world. It never was smooth sailing for Mickelson throughout his 72-hole journey to glory, but he was able to bounce back from mistakes and weave his way through the demanding conditions better than anyone else. It was an outstanding exhibit of experience over anything else for the wily, soft-handed veteran.   

As for the picks over the past two weeks, both tournaments started off very promising. We predicted a track meet for the Byron Nelson at a new course, and we were correct, but no one could keep up. None of our guys played poorly either, and Marc Leishman offered the only chance to salvage a top-20 for us, but just like the previous week, we missed out by one stroke.

The second major of the year provided a similar result with our favorite Viktor Hovland looking very promising after a tough first day for many on the Ocean Course. However, things turned quickly during the second round, and only Abraham Ancer, with a final-round 65, was able to secure a top-10 for us.

We now head back to the Lone Star State for the Charles Schwab Challenge at Fort Worth's Colonial Country Club. If you'll recall, Colonial was the site of the PGA Tour's season restart last summer after a nearly three-month suspension during the COVID-19 pandemic. Colonial is a shot-maker’s layout, differing greatly from last week’s mammoth 7,800-yard track.

According to William Hill, lifelong Dallas resident Jordan Spieth, the 2016 Colonial champion, comes in as the 10-1 favorite. World No. 2 Justin Thomas was listed at 12-1, followed by Collin Morikawa at 14-1 and Daniel Berger, the defending champion, at 18-1. To close out the notables, Abraham Ancer was a 20-1 pick after a final-round 65 listed him to a T-8 at the PGA.

For our favorite, we’re going with the value in Abraham Ancer at 20-1. He never really got it going until the final day at the PGA Championship, but he also never looked too out of sorts. Even though he never has fully finished off a Tour event with a victory, Ancer has been gold on the weekends. In his last three starts, Ancer has posted final-round scores of 65, 66 and 69 to go T-8, second and fifth. He is a horse for this ball-striker’s course, so look for Ancer to contend once again.

For a high midrange pick, we’re going with Ancer’s Presidents Cup teammate, Chilean Joaquin Niemann, at 30-1. As one of the PGA Tour's most consistent players, Niemann has made 19 straight cuts, highlighted by consecutive runners-up in Hawaii, and played well last week at the PGA Championship, tying for 30th. He’s second on the PGA Tour in scoring average, eighth in strokes gained total and 10th in strokes gained off-the-tee. In his previous three starts at Colonial, he has made the cut each time, highlighted by a T-8 in 2018. Niemann should have plenty of confidence this week.

For a deep sleeper, we’re going with fan favorite Harry Higgs at 100-1. Fresh off a fourth-place finish at the PGA Championship, the “Big Rig” heads home to Dallas, where he played college golf at SMU, to continue his momentum on a familiar track. Higgs owns a couple of runners-up on Tour and is always good to entertain the crowd with some remarkable shot-making. Higgs has the ability to put it all together this week and contend.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Winners: 3
Top 10s: 9
Top 20s: 9
Misses: 35

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Jordan Spieth 10-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Daniel Berger 18-1
Abraham Ancer 20-1
Tony Finau 22-1
Patrick Reed 22-1
Sungjae Im 25-1
Will Zalatoris 25-1
Corey Conners 25-1
Scottie Scheffler 25-1
Joaquin Niemann 30-1
Justin Rose 30-1
Gary Woodland 40-1
Billy Horschel 45-1
Charley Hoffman 45-1
Phil Mickelson 50-1
Brian Harman 50-1
Jason Kokrak 50-1
Kevin Na 55-1
Kevin Streelman 60-1
Emiliano Grillo 60-1
Matt Wallace 60-1
Sergio Garcia 60-1
Ryan Palmer 60-1
Chris Kirk 66-1
Brandt Snedeker 66-1
Matt Jones 66-1
Cameron Tringale 66-1
Matt Kuchar 66-1
Si-Woo Kim 70-1
Keith Mitchell 70-1
Branden Grace 70-1
Lee Westwood 70-1
Russell Knox 80-1
Kevin Kisner 80-1
Ian Poulter 90-1
Joel Dahmen 90-1
Harold Varner 90-1
Camilo Villegas 90-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Doug Ghim 100-1
Carlos Ortiz 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Patton Kizzire 100-1
Harry Higgs 100-1
Doc Redman 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 100-1
Talor Gooch 100-1
Cameron Davis 100-1
Lucas Glover 100-1
Peter Uihlein 100-1
Rory Sabbatini 125-1
Luke List 125-1
Adam Hadwin 125-1
C.T. Pan 125-1
Scott Stallings 125-1
J.T. Poston 150-1
Kyle Stanley 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Troy Merritt 150-1
Patrick Rodgers 150-1
Zach Johnson 150-1
Matthew NeSmith 150-1
Sebastian Munoz 150-1
Richy Werenski 150-1
Scott Piercy 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Joseph Bramlett 150-1
Wyndham Clark 150-1
Dylan Frittelli 150-1
Maverick McNealy 150-1
Henrik Stenson 175-1
Tom Hoge 200-1
Brice Garnett 200-1
Jason Dufner 200-1
Vincent Whaley 200-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 200-1
Nate Lashley 200-1
Adam Schenk 200-1
Michael Thompson 200-1
Byeong Hun An 200-1
James Hahn 200-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Andrew Putnam 200-1

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