News & Opinion

2021 RBC Heritage: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Harbour Town Golf Links

At 30-1 odds, Matthew Fitzpatrick should enjoy playing Harbour Town Golf Links this week.

Defending champion Webb Simpson merits action, even at 12-1 odds, but straight-driving Matthew Fitzpatrick, at 30-1, looks good

It was an interesting, frustrating, anxiety-inducing week for many Masters competitors at Augusta National Golf Club. In the end, like many of the previous 84 Masters, it was historic.

For the first time in the annals of a “tradition unlike any other,” an Asian-born player slipped into the green jacket, no doubt inspiring many young golfers across Japan. Hideki Matsuyama used a clinical 65 on Saturday to create enough of a cushion for an up-and-down Sunday for him to outlast all of those trying to catch the talented professional.

It was a frustrating week for the picks as there was much potential for our favorite, Justin Thomas, and deep sleeper Si Woo Kim. Both headed into the weekend in contention to win, but Justin Thomas blew up Saturday on “Azalea,” the par-5 13th at the end of Amen Corner, and finished T-21 to frustrate all those top-20 bets out there. Kim finished T-12.

Normally, the week after the Masters offers a subdued field in Hilton Head for the PGA Tour's RBC Heritage. However, we arrive at yet another Pete Dye-designed track and will be treated to seeing five of the top-10 players in the world compete. Similar to last June, Harbour Town is a ball-striker’s paradise, and accuracy will be a much higher priority than length off the tee.

According to William Hill, world no. 1 Dustin Johnson was listed as the favorite, at 10-1. Defending champion Webb Simpson was next, at 12-1. Patrick Cantlay, looking for redemption after a missed cut at the Masters, was 16-1. Collin Morikawa, the reigning PGA champion who won the WGC Workday in late February, was a 20-1 choice. Among other notables, Daniel Berger, at 22-1, also will be looking to rebound from a missed weekend at Augusta.

For our favorite, Webb Simpson at 12-1 is too easy to pass up. Simpson plays well on the South Carolina coast, so it would be a shocker not to see him in contention Sunday. In his past 12 rounds at Harbour Town, he ranks first in strokes gained tee-to-green, third in approach, fifth in ball-striking and first overall. Simpson is coming off a low-key T-12 finish at the Masters. He is properly priced, but even with those odds, it would be almost silly not to take him.

For a high midrange pick, we’re going with Matthew Fitzpatrick, at 30-1. Another accurate hitter of the ball, the Englishman had a pedestrian T-34 finish at the Masters but holds three top-10 finishes in his past six starts, after winning the European Tour's season-finale in Dubai in late December. The No. 17-ranked player in the world also ranks 17th on the PGA Tour in driving accuracy, and that should bode well when trying to navigate Harbour Town. It would not be a shocker to see Fitzpatrick break through for the first time on the PGA Tour this week.

For a deep sleeper, we’ll look at J.T. Poston at 90-1. Poston has had an up-and-down season, but he loves the Pete Dye track in Hilton Head. In his last two showings, the 2019 Wyndham Championship winner has posted T-6 and T-8 finishes at the RBC Heritage. Early this season, he finished third at Sanderson Farms and has added six other top-30 results. Take a flier on Poston to be in contention on the weekend.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Winners: 2
Top 10s: 6
Top 20s: 8
Misses: 22

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Dustin Johnson 10-1
Webb Simpson 12-1
Patrick Cantlay 16-1
Collin Morikawa 20-1
Daniel Berger 22-1
Cameron Smith 25-1
Will Zalatoris 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 25-1
Paul Casey 28-1
Corey Conners 28-1
Sungjae Im 30-1
Sergio Garcia 30-1
Abraham Ancer 30-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1
Brian Harman 33-1
Si Woo Kim 40-1
Kevin Na 40-1
Lee Westwood 40-1
Shane Lowry 40-1
Matt Kuchar 50-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50-1
Harris English 50-1
Billy Horschel 50-1
Robert MacIntyre 50-1
Charley Hoffman 50-1
Kevin Kisner 66-1
Russell Henley 66-1
Matt Wallace 66-1
Branden Grace 66-1
Chris Kirk 66-1
Ian Poulter 66-1
Cameron Davis 75-1
Emiliano Grillo 75-1
Dylan Frittelli 80-1
Sebastian Munoz 80-1
Carlos Ortiz 80-1
Sam Burns 80-1
J.T. Poston 90-1
Kevin Streelman 90-1
Alex Noren 100-1
Adam Hadwin 100-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Lucas Glover 100-1
C.T. Pan 100-1
Zach Johnson 100-1
Harold Varner III 125-1
Michael Thompson 125-1
Charles Howell 125-1
Stewart Cink 125-1
Andrew Putnam 125-1
Doug Ghim 125-1
Aaron Wise 125-1
Adam Long 150-1
Sepp Straka 150-1
Matthew NeSmith 150-1
Harry Higgs 150-1
Luke List 150-1
Richy Werenski 150-1
Ryan Moore 150-1
Patton Kizzire 150-1
Russell Knox 150-1
Danny Willett 150-1
Byeong Hun An 150-1
Denny McCarthy 150-1
Chase Seiffert 150-1
Brandt Snedeker 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Doc Redman 150-1
Tyler McCumber 150-1
Jim Furyk 150-1
Wyndham Clark 150-1
Rory Sabbatini 150-1
Brandon Hagy 175-1
Graeme McDowell 175-1
Nick Taylor 200-1
Patrick Rodgers 200-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1
Tom Hoge 200-1
Chez Reavie 200-1
Ben Martin 200-1
Maverick McNealy 200-1
Brice Garnett 200-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 200-1
Will Gordon 250-1
Scott Piercy 250-1
Kyle Stanley 250-1
Scott Stallings 250-1
Camilo Villegas 250-1
Henrik Norlander 250-1
Chesson Hadley 250-1
Tom Lewis 250-1

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