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2021 WGC Dell Technologies Match Play: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Austin Country Club

At 40-1 odds, Sergio Garcia looks to take advantage of a format that he enjoys.

Justin Thomas and Bryson DeChambeau rate as 12-1 favorites, but 40-1 choice Sergio Garcia is worth a look in his adopted hometown

Apologies for the lack of betting content last week for our loyal followers. We were taking victory laps in Utah powder after Justin Thomas took the Players Championship for another win on the year for the picks. We hope we did not offend the subdued field at the Honda Classic, which has been a theme in recent years with the Florida Swing becoming too jam-packed with marquee events. Nevertheless, it was an impressive second PGA Tour win for Australian Matt Jones, who lapped the field in the final round on a hard course in harsh conditions.

It is now time for Masters prep in the Lone Star State. It begins with a loaded field for the World Golf Championships Dell Technologies Match Play at Austin (Texas) Country Club. Sixty-four of the best players in golf will be teeing it up “March Madness” style as Wednesday-Friday will consist of 16 groups of four players each in a round-robin format. The top golfer from each group advances to the final 16 for a single-elimination knockout tournament until there is a champion.

According to William Hill, Players champion Justin Thomas and Arnold Palmer Invitational winner Bryson DeChambeau are co-favorites at 12-1. Next up is world No. 1 Dustin Johnson, the 2017 Match Play champion, along with world No. 3 Jon Rahm, the 2017 runner-up, at 14-1. Rory McIlroy (20-1) and Collin Morikawa (22-1), who won the WGC Workday title four weeks ago, close out the oddsmaker's list of favorites.

For our favorite, stats matter a bit more when handicapping a match-play event, so we’re going with the chalk bet of Bryson DeChambeau at 12-1. In the five key statistical categories of strokes gained approach, off-the-tee, Pete Dye designs, putting (Bermudagrass) and making birdie or better, DeChambeau ranks the highest on average of the five categories. He’ll have the advantage in each match hitting second, as well, so we like DeChambeau to make a deep run.

For a midrange pick, we’re going with Sergio Garcia at 40-1 in his newly adopted hometown of Texas' capital. The longtime European Ryder Cup participant should be in good spirits playing close to his U.S. home and in a format that he enjoys. Garcia won the Sanderson Farms Championship already this season and just placed ninth among the world’s best at the Players. Look for him to be comfortable this week.

For a deep sleeper, we’re looking at Shane Lowry at 80-1. The 2019 British Open champion has received a bit of disrespect for not playing up to his now major-winning standards. However, this is great value for someone just who recently finished eighth at the Players and contended during the week at the Honda Classic. Lowry could be gaining momentum at the right time to capitalize in a format other than stroke play.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Winners: 2
Top 10s: 5
Top 20s: 6
Misses: 16

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Bryson DeChambeau 12-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Dustin Johnson 14-1
Jon Rahm 14-1
Rory McIlroy 20-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Sungjae Im 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Paul Casey 25-1
Patrick Reed 25-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Tony Finau 28-1
Xander Schauffele 28-1
Webb Simpson 28-1
Daniel Berger 28-1
Tyrrell Hatton 33-1
Jason Day 35-1
Cameron Smith 35-1
Louis Oosthuizen 40-1
Sergio Garcia 40-1
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1
Joaquin Niemann 40-1
Scottie Scheffler 40-1
Will Zalatoris 40-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 40-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 50-1
Jason Kokrak 50-1
Lee Westwood 50-1
Corey Conners 50-1
Kevin Kisner 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Si-Woo Kim 66-1
Russell Henley 70-1
Max Homa 70-1
Billy Horschel 80-1
Matt Wallace 80-1
Shane Lowry 80-1
Ryan Palmer 80-1
Harris English 80-1
Bubba Watson 80-1
Lanto Griffin 80-1
Brian Harman 80-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Marc Leishman 100-1
Carlos Ortiz 100-1
Matthew Wolff 100-1
Kevin Na 100-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Victor Perez 100-1
Talor Gooch 125-1
Matt Kuchar 125-1
Kevin Streelman 150-1
Sebastian Munoz 150-1
Robert MacIntyre 150-1
J.T. Poston 150-1
Antoine Rozner 150-1
Dylan Frittelli 150-1
Erik Van Rooyen 150-1
Bernd Wiesberger 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 200-1
Andy Sullivan 200-1
Adam Long 250-1

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