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2021 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill

Like Brooks Koepka last week at the Phoenix Open, Jason Day (above) could knock off the rust this week and win at Pebble Beach.

Red-hot Dustin Johnson offers only 4-1 odds, but Jason Day, at 33-1, delivers more value and adds a strong history at Pebble Beach

When the golf world went nuts over Jordan Spieth’s out-of-body experience during the third round of the PGA Tour's Phoenix Open, Brooks Koepka wanted to remind everyone who’s really back, so he treated the final round like a major.

His chip-in for eagle at No. 17 on Sunday at TPC Scottsdale was otherworldly and propelled Koepka to a one-shot victory over Kyoung-Hoon Lee and Xander Schauffele. Spieth shot 1-over 72 and fell to T-4. As for our picks, the song remained the same with Will Zalatoris just nabbing a top-20 and Webb Simpson and Max Homa being good, but not good enough.

We now head to the California's Monterey Peninsula for a more subdued field at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am but one that will include last week’s Saudi International winner, the red-hot Dustin Johnson. In his past nine worldwide starts, he has won four times and added three runners-up, so his low odds this week are deserving. In normal times, this tournament would include play at a third course, Monterey Peninsula Country Club, and a pro-am component. This year, because of COVID-19 restrictions, play will be held at Pebble Beach and Spyglass Hill, with no spectators or pro-am players. After the 36-hole cut, the final two rounds will be played at Pebble Beach.

According to William Hill, Johnson is the clear favorite, at 4-1. Patrick Cantlay, who won the Zozo Championship in the fall and added a runner-up last month in The American Express, was the second choice, at 10-1. Daniel Berger, an 18-1 pick, will look to rebound from a missed cut in Phoenix after he opened the year with consecutive top-10s in Hawaii. Paul Casey, who won the European Tour's Omega Dubai Desert Classic two weeks ago, was listed at 20-1.

For our favorite, the play must be Patrick Cantlay at 10-1. As dominant as Johnson has been, there just is no value on a guy who will be traveling from Saudi Arabia to Carmel, Calif. Cantlay almost won two weeks ago at PGA West, and he has not finished worse than 17th since his victory at the Zozo. Cantlay is primed for another solid season.

For a midrange pick, Jason Day looks good at 33-1. He has shown flashes of his former self in the past year but not as much recently. Three missed cuts in his last four starts normally would signal to stay away, but Day has been exceptional at Pebble Beach despite never having won. He owns six top-six finishes at Pebble Beach and has gained more than 47 shots on the field during the past four years. Look for Day to be very comfortable this week.

For a sleeper, Henrik Norlander, at 50-1, is the play. He finished just outside the top 20 last week in Phoenix and looked solid in his previous two California starts, especially with a T-2 at Torrey Pines. Norlander came in cold last year and finished 25th, so look for him to improve on that result and surprise a few people.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Winners:
Top 10s: 1
Top 20s: 4
Misses: 9

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Dustin Johnson 4-1
Patrick Cantlay 10-1
Daniel Berger 18-1
Paul Casey 20-1
Will Zalatoris 25-1
Jordan Spieth 25-1
Francesco Molinari 30-1
Jason Day 33-1
Cameron Davis 40-1
Si Woo Kim 40-1
Sam Burns 45-1
Kevin Streelman 45-1
Rickie Fowler 45-1
Cameron Tringale 50-1
Max Homa 50-1
Henrik Norlander 50-1
Phil Mickelson 50-1
Brian Harman 60-1
Wyndham Clark 66-1
Brendan Steele 66-1
Matt Jones 66-1
Alex Noren 66-1
Brandt Snedeker 66-1
Matt Kuchar 66-1
Chris Kirk 70-1
Matthew NeSmith 70-1
Adam Long 80-1
Peter Malnati 80-1
Maverick McNealy 80-1
Patton Kizzire 80-1
Nick Taylor 80-1
Chez Reavie 80-1
Luke List 80-1
Joel Dahmen 80-1
James Hahn 80-1
Russell Knox 80-1
Michael Thompson 100-1
Scott Stallings 100-1
Branden Grace 100-1
Scott Piercy 100-1
Jim Furyk 100-1
Bo Hoag 100-1
Harold Varner III 100-1
Doug Ghim 100-1
Sebastian Munoz 100-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Kramer Hickok 100-1
Rory Sabbatini 100-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 100-1
Kyoung-Hoon Lee 100-1
Jhonattan Vegas 100-1
Kyle Stanley 100-1
Andrew Putnam 100-1

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