News & Opinion

2021 Sony Open: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Waialae Country Club

At 50-1, Charles Howell III offers great value as a player who is so familiar with Waialae Country Club.

Oddsmakers like Webb Simpson to win PGA Tour's 1st full-field event of 2021, but Charles Howell III offers better value

We should have seen this coming for Harris English.

His play since the early fall has been as good as anyone on the PGA Tour. For English finally to break through for the first time since 2013 against a loaded Sentry Tournament of Champions field proves that he, indeed, is back.

Xander Schauffele tied for fifth, and Abraham Ancer squeaked into the top 20, but neither was a match for the English's all-around excellence at Kapalua Resort's Plantation Course on Hawaii's Maui island.

For the second stop of the Hawaiian fortnight, we arrive back at Honolulu's Waialae Country Club for the Sony Open. During the past six years of this tournament, the result has either ended in a playoff or a very large winning margin – nothing between. In 2020, Cameron Smith beat out Brendan Steele in a playoff, so maybe we will have a blowout this year. The course has not changed much in past seasons, and it is the first full-field event of the year, with 10 of the top 25 golfers in the world set to tee it up.

According to William Hill, the favorite is the dependable Webb Simpson at 12-1, who missed out on last year’s playoff by a stroke. Next up are young major champion Collin Morikawa and last week’s winner, Harris English, at 14-1. To follow is world No. 13 Daniel Berger and another bright young star, Sungjae Im, at 16-1.

For our favorite, we’ll take the value we have in Sungjae Im at 16-1. Coming off a T-5 finish in the Sentry Tournament of Champions last week, Im will look to carry that momentum to Waialae. There is no one more familiar in playing back-to-back weeks than Im on Tour, and his past results at the Sony Open are 16th and 21st.

For a midrange pick, we’re going with Sebastian Munoz at 40-1. Munoz followed last week’s first-round 75 with three straight in the 60s while gaining strokes each day on the field in ball-striking. That will be key on a relatively short course where many birdies will be made. Munoz cannot rely on much experience at Waialae, but he finished 10th here last year, so he’ll be confident in continuing his momentum in Hawaii.

For a sleeper pick, we’re going with a guy who’s very familiar with Waialae Country Club in Charles Howell III at 50-1. In 19 starts, his resume includes 10 top-10 finishes, including five of his past nine appearances at the Sony Open. He’s never finished worse than T-32, so Howell clearly enjoys the layout, a 1927 Seth Raynor design. Look for him to feel right at home.

2021 picks scoreboard:

Top 10s: 1
Top 20s: 1

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Webb Simpson 12-1
Collin Morikawa 14-1
Harris English 14-1
Daniel Berger 16-1
Sungjae Im 16-1
Hideki Matsuyama 20-1
Joaquin Niemann 22-1
Cameron Smith 28-1
Ryan Palmer 30-1
Kevin Kisner 30-1
Abraham Ancer 30-1
Russell Henley 33-1
Adam Scott 33-1
Billy Horschel 35-1
Matt Kuchar 35-1
Zach Johnson 40-1
Sergio Garcia 40-1
Sebastian Munoz 40-1
Lanto Griffin 45-1
Brendon Todd 45-1
Emiliano Grillo 50-1
Marc Leishman 50-1
Jason Kokrak 50-1
Charles Howell 50-1
Erk Van Rooyen 50-1
Brian Harman 50-1
Patton Kizzire 66-1
Keegan Bradley 66-1
Kevin Na 66-1
Talor Gooch 66-1
Si-Woo Kim 70-1
Chez Reavie 70-1
Carlos Ortiz 70-1
Matthew NeSmith 80-1
Mackenzie Hughes 80-1
Russell Knox 80-1
J.T. Poston 90-1
Brandt Snedeker 90-1
Stewart Cink 100-1
Scott Piercy 100-1
Takumi Kanaya 100-1
Rory Sabbatini 100-1
Tom Hoge 100-1
Cameron Davis 100-1
Branden Grace 100-1

Sign up to receive the Morning Read newsletter, along with Where To Golf Next and The Equipment Insider.