News & Opinion

2020 CJ Cup at Shadow Creek: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Shadow Creek Golf Course

Bubba Watson at 2020 U.S. Open
At 70-1 odds, Bubba Watson is worth a look as a sleeper pick to win this week's CJ Cup at Shadow Creek.

Oddsmakers like Dustin Johnson, but look for Xander Schauffele to break through in the PGA Tour's 2nd week in Las Vegas

What a duel last week at the PGA Tour’s Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Many of the world’s best golfers played well, and all three of our picks were in contention to win the tournament. It ultimately came down to Matthew Wolff earning a spot in a three-way playoff for the championship, but it was not meant to be as Martin Laird made a 20-foot birdie putt on the second playoff hole to win his first title on the PGA Tour in 7½ years. Our favorite, Patrick Cantlay, stumbled on Sunday but still found himself inside the top 10, at T-8, and our sleeper, Joaquin Niemann, ended up just outside, with a T-13.

In the latter half of the Las Vegas fortnight, this week’s CJ Cup at Shadow Creek will bring out the best field we have seen since the U.S. Open. For the past three years, this tournament has been held in South Korea, but COVID-19 altered those plans, so we arrive back at the venue from the first edition of “The Match” between Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson in 2018. Neither legend will be teeing it up this week, but we certainly do not lack former major winners in the 78-man field for the no-cut event.

According to William Hill, the favorite will be Dustin Johnson, the reigning FedEx Cup champion and world No. 1, at 10-1. Next, is world No. 2 Jon Rahm, at 11-1. The oddsmakers follow the world rankings for their Nos. 3 and 4 picks, with Justin Thomas at 12-1 and Rory McIlroy at 14-1, respectively. Xander Schauffele, making his first start since he placed fifth in the U.S. Open at Winged Foot, also was a 14-1 pick.

For our favorite, Schauffele presents the most value, at 14-1. He has excelled in limited-field events, especially against many of the world’s best players. Even though he has not won since the first week of 2019, at the Tournament of Champions, he had the lowest 72-hole score at this year’s Tour Championship – no, that didn’t count as a victory, though the Official World Golf Ranking recognized it – and he has played relatively well in the four months since the season restart. Look for Schauffele to find his comfort zone.

For a midrange pick, we like Abraham Ancer at 50-1. A popular pick for us this year looks to be regaining form with a fourth-place finish last week at the Shriners. Though Ancer has yet to win on the PGA Tour, he owns three runners-up finishes dating to mid-2019. Ancer presents tremendous value at this price and should be able to continue his momentum in the desert.

For a sleeper, we’ll try to strike gold with the unpredictable Bubba Watson at 70-1. Watson can disappear for months on end, but he’s riding one of his upswings, with five straight made cuts, including four finishes of T-31 or higher. Watson has gained shots off the tee in 11 of his past 12 starts, so if you’re looking to place a flier on a top-20 bet, he might be your man.

2020 picks scoreboard:
Winners: 3
Top 10s: 13
Top 25s: 6
Misses: 21

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Dustin Johnson 10-1
Jon Rahm 11-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1
Xander Schauffele 14-1
Matthew Wolff 22-1
Brooks Koepka 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 25-1
Tyrrell Hatton 25-1
Collin Morikawa 28-1
Tommy Fleetwood 28-1
Tony Finau 28-1
Hideki Matsuyama 28-1
Daniel Berger 28-1
Viktor Hovland 30-1
Sungjae Im 35-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 35-1
Jason Day 40-1
Harris English 40-1
Sergio Garcia 40-1
Louis Oosthuizen 40-1
Scottie Scheffler 40-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Rickie Fowler 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Gary Woodland 50-1
Shane Lowry 50-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Brendon Todd 66-1
Joaquin Niemann 66-1
Kevin Kisner 66-1
Billy Horschel 66-1
Ian Poulter 66-1
Bubba Watson 70-1
Jordan Spieth 70-1
Alex Noren 80-1
Russell Henley 80-1
Sebastian Munoz 100-1
Mackenzie Hughes 100-1
Matt Kuchar 100-1
Corey Conners 100-1
Cameron Smith 100-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Jason Kokrak 100-1
Kevin Na 100-1
Kevin Streelman 100-1
Si Woo Kim 100-1

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