News & Opinion

2020 U.S. Open: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for Winged Foot

Collin Morikawa wins 2020 PGA Championship at Harding Park
Can Collin Morikawa make it 2 consecutive major titles? He’s got the steady game that can thrive this week in the U.S. Open at Winged Foot.

Oddsmakers favor Dustin Johnson – and why not? – but Collin Morikawa has the game to prevail at punitive Winged Foot

It is mid-September, and we finally have made it to our second major championship in this coronavirus-affected year. With the PGA Tour season having ended, the NHL and NBA still in playoff mode, the NFL starting its season and another high-profile professional tennis major finishing in nearby Queens, N.Y., even the most avid sports fans will be perplexed to see “U.S. Open” trending for another week. However, it will be a welcoming sense of confusion as temperatures around the country begin to dip and we still have some meaningful golf ahead this fall.

A few weeks back, we offered three early picks (Collin Morikawa, Daniel Berger and Cameron Champ) for the 120th U.S. Open at Winged Foot Golf Club in Mamaroneck, N.Y. Those picks were based off solid form since the season restart in June. After so much discussion about conditions on Winged Foot’s West Course heading into this week, we’re going to keep only one of those picks.

According to William Hill, the clear-cut favorite is Dustin Johnson, at 8-1. Johnson, the recent FedEx Cup champion and No. 1-ranked player in the world, never has been more dialed in on his game. He will be looking for redemption after his runner-up finish in the PGA last month at Harding Park. Next in the odds, world No. 2 Jon Rahm, a 10-1 pick, has been nearly as hot as Johnson in recent weeks. Justin Thomas, at 14-1, has been perhaps the Tour’s most consistent player during the past three years. Rounding out the favorites, Xander Schauffele and Rory McIlroy were 16-1 picks.

For our favorite, we’re going to stick with the guy whom we picked a few weeks back in Morikawa, at 18-1. Not only can the PGA champion claim more victories than missed cuts (3-1) in his brief career, but he ranks among the Tour leaders in driving accuracy and strokes gained tee to green. Finding the fairway will be key this week, and we like Morikawa to have that same laser focus as he had in winning the season’s first major championship.

For a midrange pick, Webb Simpson, at 28-1, also drives it in the fairway regularly and has been one of the most consistent players on Tour since the season restart. Simpson, the 2012 U.S. Open champion, had two victories among eight top-10s in 2020. Even with his recent less-than-inspiring performance two weeks ago at East Lake, he has just the right stuff to contend at the more demanding Winged Foot Golf Club.

For a sleeper, you’ll begin to see a trend in our picks, and that’s why we’re going to take Brendon Todd at 80-1. The two-time PGA Tour winner from last season ranked fourth in driving accuracy (higher than Morikawa and Simpson) and put himself in contention almost weekly after the season restart. Todd, a steady driver and putter, has the type of game to emerge on the leaderboard at an event where par will be a good number.

Here are some notable odds, according to William Hill:

Dustin Johnson 8-1
Jon Rahm 10-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1
Justin Thomas 16-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Bryson DeChambeau 22-1
Webb Simpson 28-1
Daniel Berger 30-1
Patrick Cantlay 30-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Tommy Fleetwood 35-1
Jason Day 40-1
Adam Scott 40-1
Patrick Reed 40-1
Tyrrell Hatton 45-1
Tiger Woods 50-1
Justin Rose 55-1
Rickie Fowler 55-1
Viktor Hovland 55-1
Paul Casey 55-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 55-1
Gary Woodland 60-1
Matthew Wolff 60-1
Harris English 66-1
Sungjae Im 70-1
Jordan Spieth 80-1
Shane Lowry 80-1
Abraham Ancer 80-1
Louis Oosthuizen 80-1
Phil Mickelson 80-1
Brendon Todd 80-1
Sergio Garcia 80-1
Marc Leishman 100-1
Henrik Stenson 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Francesco Molinari 80-1
Matt Kuchar 100-1
Cameron Smith 100-1
Joaquin Niemann 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Si Woo Kim 100-1
Danny Willett 100-1
Martin Kaymer 125-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Bernd Wiesberger 125-1
Rasmus Hojgaard 125-1
Brandt Snedeker 125-1
Branden Grace 125-1
Adam Hadwin 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Lee Westwood 125-1
Bubba Watson 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1

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