News & Opinion

2020 WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational: Latest betting odds, favorites and sleeper picks for TPC Southwind

Hideki Matsuyama at 2020 Arnold Palmer Invitational
At 33-1 odds, Japan’s Hideki Matsuyama rates as a good midrange pick for this week’s WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational.

World No. 1 Jon Rahm rates tops with oddsmakers, but Hideki Matsuyama could be a shrewd pick in Memphis

There was a return to “new normal scoring” on the PGA Tour last week at TPC Twin Cities, where the pros went low and the course had little chance. Michael Thompson, a 125-1 pick to win this week, led wire-to-wire in winning the 3M Open for his second career victory and his first in seven years. Our favorite pick, Tony Finau (35-1), was in contention for most of the week before finishing tied for third. We’ll take another top-10 as we head to Memphis, Tenn.

The WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational will be loaded with talent, including 27 of the top 30 players in the FedEx Cup standings. WGC events typically feature some of the largest purses in golf and award the most Official World Golf Ranking points. TPC Southwind will be the final stop before the golf season’s first major championship.

According to U.K. oddsmaker William Hill, the new world No. 1, Jon Rahm, is the favorite this week at 11-1 after his impressive victory two weeks ago at the Memorial. Next are world No. 2 Rory McIlroy, FedEx Cup point leader Justin Thomas and our favorite man-child Bryson DeChambeau, all at 12-1. Rounding out the top-5 is Patrick Cantlay at 20-1 for his relatively steady play since the season restart last month.

Among the favorites, we like Thomas. TPC Southwind has favored those players who can excel in strokes gained putting, approach and ball-striking. When we think of those three categories, few have been better than Thomas. Look for JT to bounce back after the tough playoff loss to Collin Morikawa in the Workday Charity Open at Muirfield Village and regain his early season confidence.

Our midrange pick of the week is Hideki Matsuyama, at 33-1. His performances can be spotty from week-to-week, but he always seems to get up for the WGC events. Winner of the 2016 HSBC Champions and the 2017 Bridgestone Invitational, Matsuyama, 28, of Japan, posted T-11 and T-6 results in the WGC events this season. Look for Matsuyama to be dialed in at Memphis.

Danny Willett, the 2016 Masters champion, is the sleeper pick for this week, at 90-1. Willett seemed like the guy whom you would see only for the annual champions’-dinner photo each April for the rest of his career, but he has been playing steady golf lately. He was T-4 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and then was very much contention after three rounds of the Memorial before inclement weather hit. So, let’s roll the dice in the top-10 and -25 markets.

2020 picks scoreboard:
Winners: 2
Top 10s: 6
Top 25s: 2
Misses: 8

Here are the full-field odds, according to William Hill:

Jon Rahm 11-1
Rory McIlroy 12-1
Bryson DeChambeau 12-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Patrick Cantlay 20-1
Webb Simpson 22-1
Xander Schauffele 22-1
Collin Morikawa 28-1
Viktor Hovland 28-1
Tyrell Hatton 28-1
Daniel Berger 28-1
Dustin Johnson 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 33-1
Brooks Koepka 33-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 35-1
Tony Finau 35-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1
Jason Day 40-1
Jordan Spieth 45-1
Billy Horschel 45-1
Rickie Fowler 45-1
Gary Woodland 45-1
Abraham Ancer 50-1
Marc Leishman 60-1
Sergio Garcia 60-1
Matt Kuchar 70-1
Joaquin Niemann 70-1
Adam Hadwin 80-1
Matthew Wolff 80-1
Sung-Jae Im 80-1
Ian Poulter 80-1
Henrik Stenson 80-1
Kevin Streelman 80-1
Danny Willett 90-1
Corey Conners 100-1
Matt Wallace 100-1
Paul Casey 100-1
Bubba Watson 100-1
Phil Mickelson 100-1
Brendon Todd 100-1
Scottie Scheffler 100-1
Kevin Na 100-1
Louis Oosthizen 125-1
Michael Thompson 125-1
Max Home 125-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 125-1
Brandt Snedeker 125-1
Chez Reavie 125-1
Ryan Palmer 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1
Bernd Wiesberger 125-1
Erik Van Rooyen 125-1
Joey Dahmen 150-1
Byeong Hun An 150-1
Cameron Champ 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Shane Lowry 150-1
J.T. Poston 150-1
Keegan Bradley 150-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 150-1
Robert MacIntyre 150-1
Tom Lewis 200-1
Cameron Smith 200-1
Jason Kokrak 200-1
Nick Taylor 250-1
Graeme McDowell 250-1
Matt Jones 250-1
Shaun Norris 300-1
Jazz Janewattananond 300-1
Victor Perez 300-1
Sung-Hoon Kang 300-1
C.T. Pan 300-1
Lucas Herbert 300-1
Haotong Li 300-1
Andrew Landry 300-1
Sebastian Soderberg 300-1
Tyler Duncan 300-1

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